trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.7% | -8.8% | 38% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.7% | -8.8% | 38% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 22 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 32% | 0% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 0% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -33.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $31 | $0 | +1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $64 | −$1 | -1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $31 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $30 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | May 23 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 23 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 24 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jun 24 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 05 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? | May 21 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | May 11 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | May 11 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 10 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? | May 09 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 09 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | May 08 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files? | May 07 | $7 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9? | May 06 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | May 06 | $16 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Osc | Mar 02 | $17 | $0 | -2% |