Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd912…75c3
crypto · 642 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,749 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,748 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$2,748
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses285 / 355
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)640 / 642
History coverage1d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day2140.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 3 History 640 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,748
7 days−$2,748
14 days−$2,748
30 days−$2,748
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 43¢ 32¢ $6 $5 −$2 (-24%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 25¢ 32¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 22¢ 30¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+34%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$15 +124%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +198%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +157%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +142%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +181%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +115%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$96 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$124 +212%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $184 −$184 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$40 +348%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $117 +$27 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$21 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$2,487
other 1% −$261
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 28m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 34m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 34m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 34m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 47m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-25.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 640 -17.6% -25.5% 45% 35% -15.8%
≤30d 640 -17.6% -25.5% 45% 35% -15.8%
≤90d 640 -17.6% -25.5% 45% 35% -15.8%
all 640 -17.6% -25.5% 45% 35% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2140.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.5% 35% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 25% -23.9%
15% -39.1% 19% -31.3%
20% -45.1% 16% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.99 · official $8.91 (match) · 3500 history records