Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T15:00:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D9 0xd911…90a6 crypto 257 markets active 5d ago coverage 44d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,362 (-5%) realized −$1,362 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate88%226W / 31L
Whale WR67%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$107per market
Trades / day5.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,870
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 +0.0% -9.5% 94% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 125 +0.0% -9.5% 94% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 257 -3.2% -12.4% 88% 25% -15.7%
all 257 -3.2% -12.4% 88% 25% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.4% 25% -15.7%
10% -20.8% 5% -23.8%
15% -28.5% 2% -31.1%
20% -35.5% 1% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
70% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 67% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -6% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$148 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,362
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses226 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)257 / 257
History coverage44d
Avg bet$107
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 257 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 541 history records