Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:14:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd909…f7ec
crypto · 657 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,589 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,589 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,589
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses258 / 399
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)657 / 657
History coverage132d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day17.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 657 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $234 $0 −$234 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? No 60¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$119 +744%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$33 +210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 13 $94 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$93 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $216 −$11 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $81 +$4 +5%
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? Jun 10 $68 +$3 +4%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? Apr 24 $22 −$7 -32%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Apr 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Apr 14 $20 +$42 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Apr 14 $8 −$8 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 14 $20 +$57 +286%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 13 $20 −$19 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Apr 13 $35 −$33 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Apr 13 $10 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Apr 13 $25 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Apr 13 $30 −$27 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 13 $27 +$28 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Apr 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Apr 13 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Apr 13 $115 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Apr 13 $26 +$26 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Apr 13 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Apr 13 $10 −$10 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% −$2,536
politics 18% −$5,861
world 4% −$76
tech 0% −$109
weather 0% −$4
economics 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $28 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $19 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $18 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -22.5% -29.9% 34% 22% -13.3%
≤30d 32 -22.5% -29.9% 34% 22% -13.3%
≤90d 528 -36.3% -42.3% 27% 24% -57.3%
all 657 -12.5% -20.9% 39% 35% -31.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 35% -31.2%
10% -28.4% 30% -37.8%
15% -35.3% 25% -43.8%
20% -41.7% 20% -49.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2844 history records