Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd901…8e14
crypto · 89 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$433 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$432 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$155
Realized+$432
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses57 / 29
Open positions3
Markets (closed)86 / 89
History coverage1d
Avg bet$156
Trades / day3414.0
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$432
7 days+$432
14 days+$432
30 days+$432
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 56¢ 62¢ $64 $69 +$6 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 39¢ 38¢ $44 $44 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 59¢ 57¢ $18 $17 −$0 (-3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 60¢ 57¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 39¢ 42¢ $8 $8 +$1 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 40¢ 42¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $248 −$38 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $187 +$6 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$12 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$6 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $239 +$27 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $260 +$27 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $146 +$35 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $266 +$10 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$14 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$10 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$5 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $286 +$45 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $200 +$65 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $310 +$40 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $44 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $276 +$33 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$32 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $243 +$52 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $194 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $321 +$23 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $263 +$28 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$11 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$11 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $296 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $290 −$8 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $147 +$42 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$4 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$11 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $309 −$54 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$13 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $385 +$68 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $402 +$38 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $78 +$19 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $359 −$40 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$9 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $336 −$112 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$8 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$15 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $310 +$5 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$433
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 +5.3% -4.7% 66% 40% -6.7%
≤30d 86 +5.3% -4.7% 66% 40% -6.7%
≤90d 86 +5.3% -4.7% 66% 40% -6.7%
all 86 +5.3% -4.7% 66% 40% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3414.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 40% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 17% -15.6%
15% -22.1% 3% -23.8%
20% -29.8% 3% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $154.88 · official $154.67 (match) · 3500 history records