trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -8.4% | -17.1% | 40% | 40% | -2.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -8.4% | -17.1% | 40% | 40% | -2.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -16.7% | -24.7% | 36% | 36% | -9.1% |
| all | 24 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 50% | 33% | -12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.9% | 33% | -12.2% |
| 10% | -33.9% | 33% | -20.6% |
| 15% | -40.3% | 12% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -46.1% | 12% | -35.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-1.5) | France | 41¢ | 40¢ | $100 | $96 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $112 | +$289 | +257% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $88 | −$86 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $367 | −$360 | -98% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 14 | $142 | −$142 | -100% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 14 | $106 | +$98 | +93% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $81 | −$80 | -99% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $204 | +$284 | +140% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $1,011 | +$263 | +26% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 22 | $167 | −$167 | -100% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Dec 29 | $198 | +$51 | +26% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 29 | $500 | +$123 | +25% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Dec 23 | $295 | +$20 | +7% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Nov 24 | $135 | −$135 | -100% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Nov 14 | $2,900 | +$95 | +3% |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 10 | $87 | +$26 | +30% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Oct 30 | $306 | −$306 | -100% |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 30 | $1,434 | +$497 | +35% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Oct 17 | $1,257 | +$40 | +3% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) | Oct 07 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September? | Sep 22 | $1,222 | +$35 | +3% |
| Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | Aug 12 | $1,120 | −$80 | -7% |
| Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? | Jul 11 | $240 | −$240 | -100% |