Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:34:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd8f7…2f14
other · 168 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$10 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses14 / 154
Open positions0
Markets (closed)168 / 168
History coverage160d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 0 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? Jun 13 $43 $0 -1%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 02 $49 $0 -1%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun May 25 $44 $0 +0%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? May 18 $94 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Feb 20 $235 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Feb 20 $162 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 20 $79 $0 -0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Feb 19 $49 $0 -0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? Feb 19 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Feb 19 $161 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 19 $48 $0 -0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Feb 19 $164 $0 -0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 19 $50 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 19 $55 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Feb 19 $158 $0 -0%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? Feb 19 $25 $0 -2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 19 $52 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 19 $49 $0 -0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? Feb 19 $108 $0 -0%
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Feb 19 $83 $0 -0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Feb 19 $185 +$1 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Feb 16 $102 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 16 $54 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 16 $147 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Feb 16 $113 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Feb 16 $215 $0 -0%
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 16 $86 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 16 $81 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru Feb 16 $55 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? Feb 16 $144 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Feb 16 $160 $0 -0%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? Feb 16 $55 $0 -0%
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Feb 16 $221 $0 -0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 16 $50 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 16 $183 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Feb 16 $51 $0 -0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February? Feb 14 $57 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 14 $58 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Feb 14 $50 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Feb 14 $63 $0 -0%
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Feb 14 $167 $0 -0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Feb 14 $50 $0 -0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Feb 14 $55 $0 -0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 14 $162 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 14 $49 $0 -0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? Feb 14 $52 $0 -0%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Feb 14 $55 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 12 $52 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Feb 12 $115 $0 -0%
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? Feb 12 $121 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 27% −$1
politics 23% −$1
other 21% −$3
crypto 8% −$1
economics 8% −$1
culture 7% −$1
world 3% −$1
tech 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $42 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? BUY No 93¢ $43 8h
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 97¢ $49 11d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 97¢ $49 11d
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL No 94¢ $44 19d
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 93¢ $44 19d
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 95¢ $46 26d
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 95¢ $46 29d
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e SELL No 95¢ $50 113d
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e BUY No 95¢ $50 113d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 91¢ $53 113d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 91¢ $53 113d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 93¢ $49 113d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 93¢ $49 113d
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 94¢ $49 114d
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 94¢ $49 114d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? SELL No 93¢ $49 114d
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? BUY No 94¢ $49 114d
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? SELL No 92¢ $48 114d
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? BUY No 92¢ $48 114d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $48 114d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $48 114d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 90¢ $55 114d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 91¢ $55 114d
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $50 114d
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $50 114d
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 97¢ $55 114d
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $55 114d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 94¢ $52 114d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 94¢ $52 114d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -1.0% -10.4% 0% 0% -10.4%
≤30d 4 -0.4% -9.9% 25% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 4 -0.4% -9.9% 25% 0% -9.9%
all 168 -0.1% -9.6% 8% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 542 history records