trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 20% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 20% | 0% | -11.3% |
| all | 29 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 48% | 7% | -8.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.1% | 7% | -8.2% |
| 10% | -16.9% | 7% | -17.0% |
| 15% | -24.9% | 7% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -32.3% | 3% | -32.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $38 | $37 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 27 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 26 | $7 | $0 | -3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 25 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | May 25 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $36 | +$2 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 24 | $46 | −$6 | -14% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 23 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Jun 26 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | May 21 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | May 20 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $16 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April? | May 06 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference? | Apr 28 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Apr 07 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days? | Apr 06 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Apr 04 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 03 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? | Apr 03 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28? | Mar 29 | $16 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 26 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Robert Morris vs. Alabama | Mar 22 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Micky Arison make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall | Mar 20 | $13 | +$6 | +43% |
| UMBC vs. UMass Lowell | Mar 03 | $6 | +$6 | +100% |