Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:41:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd8e6…998e
crypto · 1063 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$432 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,217 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,217
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses522 / 561
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1083 / 1063
History coverage104d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1083 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$163
14 days−$185
30 days−$291
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,181
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-34.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 302 -30.8% -37.4% 54% 31% -22.6%
≤30d 633 -21.0% -28.6% 59% 22% -20.3%
≤90d 1031 -29.2% -35.9% 48% 24% -22.0%
all 1083 -27.9% -34.8% 48% 24% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.8% 24% -21.6%
10% ← realistic here -41.0% 12% -29.1%
15% -46.7% 10% -36.0%
20% -52.0% 7% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records