trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +27.1% | +15.0% | 50% | 50% | +12.5% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -26.4% | -33.4% | 40% | 40% | -16.1% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -23.0% | -30.4% | 43% | 43% | -13.9% |
| all | 28 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 43% | 43% | -43.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.6% | 43% | -43.2% |
| 10% | -35.5% | 43% | -48.6% |
| 15% | -41.7% | 43% | -53.6% |
| 20% | -47.4% | 25% | -58.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $58 | $59 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | Under | 58¢ | 58¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $3 | +$6 | +176% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | Jun 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 | Jun 11 | $4 | +$5 | +133% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 | Jun 09 | $7 | +$3 | +42% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 | Jun 03 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5 | Jun 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 | Jun 02 | $6 | +$3 | +49% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 | May 31 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 | May 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5 | May 30 | $5 | +$3 | +48% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 | May 28 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5 | May 27 | $5 | +$4 | +72% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | May 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5 | May 26 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5 | May 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5 | May 24 | $3 | +$4 | +114% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 | May 21 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 | May 19 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5 | May 18 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) | May 16 | $3 | +$2 | +45% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5 | Mar 09 | $309 | +$286 | +92% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | Dec 11 | $2,060 | −$2,060 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 10, 4PM ET | Dec 11 | $456 | +$456 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 10, 3PM ET | Dec 11 | $574 | +$574 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 10, 7PM ET | Dec 10 | $134 | −$134 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 10, 6PM ET | Dec 10 | $379 | −$379 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 10, 5PM ET | Dec 10 | $356 | −$356 | -100% |