Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T05:14:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
D8 0xd8dd…c30e crypto 886 markets active 2h ago coverage 41d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,040 (-5%) realized −$1,040 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate72%635W / 251L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day48.6pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$256
14 days−$342
30 days−$841
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$1,279
other 3% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -8.2% -17.0% 64% 53% -13.8%
≤30d 534 -4.8% -13.9% 67% 51% -14.3%
≤90d 886 -5.7% -14.7% 72% 45% -15.5%
all 886 -5.7% -14.7% 72% 45% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 45% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 24% -23.6%
15% -30.3% 14% -31.0%
20% -37.1% 9% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$21 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,040
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses635 / 251
Open positions0
Markets (closed)886 / 886
History coverage41d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day48.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 886 Trades
no open positions (119 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$6 -57%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$15 -73%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $39 +$5 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $19 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$4 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$4 +37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$14 -72%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$4 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $19 +$1 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $9 +$12 +134%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $59 −$23 -39%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $53 −$51 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$5 -77%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$6 -63%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$12 -60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $46 −$16 -34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $18 −$18 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $23 +$9 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$6 -64%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $81 −$49 -61%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $41 +$15 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $80 −$48 -60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$21 +41%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$30 -61%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$7 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -73%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$4 -23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $46 −$40 -87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$10 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$33 -67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$6 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $101 −$18 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $33 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 42h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 42h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $12 45h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 45h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 45h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $10 46h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 46h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $13 47h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 47h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $5 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $20 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $19 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $14 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $8 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $1 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $20 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $19 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2444 history records