Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd8dd…0ad3
crypto · 1235 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$81 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses566 / 668
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1234 / 1235
History coverage13d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day177.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days−$188
14 days−$79
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 791 -9.4% -18.0% 58% 24% -14.9%
≤30d 1234 +2.1% -7.6% 46% 23% -11.4%
≤90d 1234 +2.1% -7.6% 46% 23% -11.4%
all 1234 +2.1% -7.6% 46% 23% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover177.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 23% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 16% -19.8%
15% -24.5% 12% -27.6%
20% -31.9% 9% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 3500 history records