Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:52:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd8dd…14a9
crypto · 33 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses16 / 16
Open positions1
Markets (closed)32 / 33
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day57.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 42¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +382%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +3.5% -6.3% 50% 44% -8.8%
≤30d 32 +3.5% -6.3% 50% 44% -8.8%
≤90d 32 +3.5% -6.3% 50% 44% -8.8%
all 32 +3.5% -6.3% 50% 44% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.3% 44% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.3% 28% -17.5%
15% -23.5% 25% -25.5%
20% -31.0% 19% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.34 · official $1.46 (match) · 65 history records