Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd8aa…1ba8
crypto · 1473 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$61 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1206 / 265
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1471 / 1473
History coverage23d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day96.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1471 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$24
14 days−$85
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 349 -1.7% -11.1% 77% 63% -14.6%
≤30d 1471 -3.1% -12.3% 82% 44% -12.0%
≤90d 1471 -3.1% -12.3% 82% 44% -12.0%
all 1471 -3.1% -12.3% 82% 44% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 44% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 23% -20.4%
15% -28.4% 11% -28.1%
20% -35.4% 5% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.24 (match) · 3500 history records