Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:28:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd8a9…977f
crypto · 1706 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$304 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$304 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$304
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1413 / 293
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1706 / 1706
History coverage10d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day186.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 1706 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days+$10
14 days−$304
30 days−$304
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$254
other 8% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 812 +5.4% -4.6% 75% 65% -9.2%
≤30d 1706 +1.0% -8.6% 83% 42% -10.8%
≤90d 1706 +1.0% -8.6% 83% 42% -10.8%
all 1706 +1.0% -8.6% 83% 42% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover186.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 42% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 13% -19.4%
15% -25.3% 2% -27.2%
20% -32.7% 2% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records