Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:59:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd8a6…fc22
crypto · 1237 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$193 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$193 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$193
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses926 / 312
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1238 / 1237
History coverage38d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1238 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$61
7 days−$39
14 days−$66
30 days−$144
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$191
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 571 -2.8% -12.0% 70% 67% -10.7%
≤30d 1095 -2.4% -11.7% 75% 62% -11.3%
≤90d 1238 -2.6% -11.9% 75% 61% -11.6%
all 1238 -2.6% -11.9% 75% 61% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 61% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 40% -20.1%
15% -28.0% 22% -27.8%
20% -35.1% 12% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records