trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 03 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23? | Feb 23 | $2 | +$1 | +55% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21? | Feb 22 | $2 | +$1 | +54% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 3 | +35.8% | +22.9% | 67% | 67% | +13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +22.9% | 67% | +13.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +11.1% | 67% | +2.3% |
| 15% | +0.4% | 67% | -7.6% |
| 20% | -9.5% | 67% | -16.7% |