trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 38% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 38% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 38% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 26 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 50% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 84¢ | 81¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 69¢ | 64¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $34 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 17 | $32 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $96 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $31 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 03 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 27 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 19 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists? | Apr 15 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Apr 13 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days? | Apr 12 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in his first 100 days? | Apr 11 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in March? | Apr 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |