Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:39:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd876…aff5
crypto · 1931 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$1,825 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,826 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized+$1,826
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1162 / 470
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1632 / 1931
History coverage9d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day254.0
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 1632 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,003
7 days+$1,414
14 days+$1,826
30 days+$1,826
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 65¢ 46¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -2248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +335%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +547%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +470%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -3554%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -498%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +640%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +634%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +496%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1736%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -2235%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +579%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -738%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +579%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1424%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +579%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -844%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +711%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$1,743
other 14% +$358
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $0 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)+12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1441 +16.0% +4.9% 68% 68% +29.4%
≤30d 1632 +24.0% +12.2% 71% 71% +34.2%
≤90d 1632 +24.0% +12.2% 71% 71% +34.2%
all 1632 +24.0% +12.2% 71% 71% +34.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover254.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.2% 71% +34.2%
10% ← realistic here +1.4% 71% +21.3%
15% -8.4% 71% +9.6%
20% -17.3% 47% -1.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.21 · official $8.11 · 3500 history records