trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -8.0% | -16.7% | 67% | 56% | +20.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -2.9% | -12.2% | 77% | 54% | +17.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -2.9% | -12.2% | 77% | 54% | +17.6% |
| all | 13 | -2.9% | -12.2% | 77% | 54% | +17.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.2% | 54% | +17.6% |
| 10% | -20.6% | 15% | +6.4% |
| 15% | -28.2% | 15% | -3.9% |
| 20% | -35.3% | 15% | -13.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 67¢ | 68¢ | $75 | $77 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+21%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+18%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 69¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-11%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-34%) |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Netherlands (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $15 | −$8 | -50% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $102 | +$57 | +56% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $3 | $0 | +16% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$1 | +14% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car | Jun 15 | $5 | +$3 | +64% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$1 | +21% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will the announcers say "Pressure" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Wor | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +9% |