Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd84d…cc32
sports · 533 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$6,081 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,055 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$182
Realized+$6,055
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses315 / 203
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Est. fees paid−$1,114
Open positions19
Markets (closed)518 / 533
History coverage63d
Avg bet$128
Trades / day46.8
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 19 History 518 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,155
7 days+$1,757
14 days+$2,470
30 days+$1,652
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Los Angeles Thieves 55¢ 100¢ $36 $65 +$29 (+81%)
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July? No 25¢ 26¢ $31 $32 +$1 (+4%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 27¢ $19 $27 +$8 (+42%)
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? Yes 59¢ 51¢ $25 $21 −$3 (-14%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner G2 Minnesota 75¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$3 (+33%)
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 3¢ 74¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+2350%)
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Toss Match Double Sri Lanka Winner Yes 1¢ 50¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+4454%)
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5 Under 1¢ 39¢ $0 $4 +$3 (+3800%)
Iwaki FC vs. Ventforet Kōfu: O/U 4.5 Under 33¢ 52¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+59%)
Will Ventforet Kōfu win on 2026-03-08? Yes 1¢ 49¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+4355%)
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? Yes 96¢ 48¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-51%)
Will KT Rolster Challengers win LCK CL 2026? Yes 0¢ 2¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+295%)
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will FEARX Youth win LCK CL 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-12%)
Will BRION Challengers win LCK CL 2026? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+328%)
Will SOOPers Challengers win LCK CL 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-20%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? Yes 22¢ 1¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-94%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner Los Angeles Thieves 67¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 11¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 14 $772 +$8 +1%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$3 +37%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $159 +$2 +1%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $26 +$4 +16%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $22 −$22 -98%
Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $0 +$7 +4756%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$39 +127%
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding Jun 13 $1 +$31 +4526%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $12 −$12 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $33 +$67 +203%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $653 +$204 +31%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 12 $1,053 +$28 +3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 +$18 +146%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $789 +$106 +14%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $1,329 +$788 +59%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $31 +$39 +124%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Grou Jun 11 $203 −$7 -3%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $8 +$3 +37%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10 $53 −$3 -5%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $55 +$125 +226%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $0 +$2 +1567%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $364 +$165 +45%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 10 $20 +$15 +77%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $116 +$53 +46%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 +$25 +124%
Overwatch: Please Not Hero Ban vs MURASH GAMING (BO3) - OCS Japan Stag Jun 09 $51 +$41 +79%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 09 $1,107 +$163 +15%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $25 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $18 +$8 +45%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 09 $77 −$18 -23%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $49 +$2 +4%
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 09 $13 −$3 -27%
Map Handicap: CC (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5) Jun 09 $42 −$34 -80%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 08 $31 +$39 +124%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Jun 07 $530 +$5 +1%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $50 $0 +1%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Vancouver Surge - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $27 +$73 +272%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 06 $46 +$1 +2%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $158 +$2 +1%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Toronto KOI - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $33 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Sta Jun 06 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Pla Jun 06 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group St Jun 06 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$3,972
other 1% +$2,067
politics 0% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY Los Angeles Thieves 55¢ $3 53m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY Los Angeles Thieves 55¢ $33 53m
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner SELL Los Angeles Thieves 62¢ $6 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 67¢ $34 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 Minnesota 75¢ $8 1h
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 99¢ $198 2h
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 99¢ $159 2h
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 99¢ $172 2h
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 99¢ $158 2h
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 99¢ $35 2h
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 99¢ $8 2h
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 99¢ $41 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $23 2h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 73¢ $8 4h
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Boston Breach 99¢ $41 5h
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Boston Breach 99¢ $0 5h
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Boston Breach 99¢ $119 5h
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach - Game 1 Winner BUY Boston Breach 86¢ $26 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 11¢ $8 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 11¢ $14 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $12 14h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $31 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 8¢ $10 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 8¢ $10 15h
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July? BUY No 25¢ $32 16h
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding BUY JD Gaming 2¢ $0 17h
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding BUY JD Gaming 2¢ $0 17h
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding BUY JD Gaming 2¢ $0 17h
Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding BUY JD Gaming 2¢ $0 17h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 66¢ $28 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+41.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +142.2% +119.1% 67% 51% +10.4%
≤30d 193 +34.6% +21.8% 54% 39% -1.8%
≤90d 518 +56.3% +41.4% 61% 41% -3.9%
all 518 +56.3% +41.4% 61% 41% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +41.4% 41% -3.9%
10% ← realistic here +27.9% 36% -13.1%
15% +15.5% 31% -21.5%
20% +4.2% 26% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $182.43 · official $182.43 (match) · 3500 history records