Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:29:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd81d…517e
crypto · 40 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses30 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day29.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -0.4% -9.9% 75% 35% -15.8%
≤30d 40 -0.4% -9.9% 75% 35% -15.8%
≤90d 40 -0.4% -9.9% 75% 35% -15.8%
all 40 -0.4% -9.9% 75% 35% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 35% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 25% -23.8%
15% -26.4% 8% -31.2%
20% -33.6% 8% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 95 history records