Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd817…1cce
crypto · 1033 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$263 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$263 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$263
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses600 / 433
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1033 / 1033
History coverage90d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day16.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1033 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$65
14 days−$77
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$8 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$10 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 06 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$263
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -5.8% -14.8% 63% 47% -18.4%
≤30d 277 -0.9% -10.4% 62% 51% -13.5%
≤90d 987 -8.7% -17.4% 56% 42% -16.5%
all 1033 -5.5% -14.5% 58% 44% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 44% -13.6%
10% -22.6% 38% -21.8%
15% -30.1% 32% -29.4%
20% -37.0% 28% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2513 history records