Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D8
0xd802…8257
crypto · 863 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$447 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$447 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$447
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses352 / 511
Open positions0
Markets (closed)863 / 863
Avg bet$5
Trades / day18.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 863 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$46
14 days−$124
30 days−$439
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$5 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$4 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$447
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-24.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 162 -10.2% -18.8% 46% 43% -15.4%
≤30d 856 -16.6% -24.5% 41% 37% -19.5%
≤90d 856 -16.6% -24.5% 41% 37% -19.5%
all 863 -16.8% -24.8% 41% 37% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.8% 37% -19.7%
10% -32.0% 34% -27.4%
15% -38.5% 27% -34.4%
20% -44.6% 24% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2397 history records