Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:47:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7f9…1c3d
crypto · 108 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$197 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$197 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$197
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses68 / 40
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)108 / 108
History coverage9d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day22.5
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$190
14 days+$197
30 days+$197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 71¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 61¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 28¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$15 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $22 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $84 +$30 +35%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$14 +45%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $32 −$31 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$3 +12%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $37 +$21 +57%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $26 +$4 +16%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $45 −$45 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $46 +$28 +62%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$15 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $41 −$15 -36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $33 +$16 +48%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $56 −$48 -85%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $21 +$12 +57%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$6 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $23 +$7 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 −$4 -60%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 12? Jun 11 $19 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $17 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% +$150
crypto 15% +$21
other 5% +$23
weather 3% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $35 5m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $20 5m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $51 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -1.2% -10.6% 61% 58% +0.8%
≤30d 108 -1.2% -10.6% 63% 58% +0.3%
≤90d 108 -1.2% -10.6% 63% 58% +0.3%
all 108 -1.2% -10.6% 63% 58% +0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 58% +0.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 47% -9.3%
15% -27.0% 40% -18.1%
20% -34.1% 28% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 236 history records