trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 0% | 0% | -16.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -30.8% | -37.4% | 0% | 0% | -16.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -17.2% | -25.1% | 42% | 8% | -14.6% |
| all | 17 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 35% | 6% | -17.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.7% | 6% | -17.2% |
| 10% | -36.4% | 0% | -25.1% |
| 15% | -42.6% | 0% | -32.4% |
| 20% | -48.2% | 0% | -39.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $1,610 | −$207 | -13% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $1,641 | −$32 | -2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $2,375 | −$197 | -8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | May 26 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | May 19 | $177 | +$23 | +13% |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | May 16 | $1,329 | +$13 | +1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Apr 07 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Apr 07 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 07 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? | Mar 27 | $19 | +$2 | +9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Mar 27 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Mar 27 | $10 | −$2 | -14% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March? | Mar 23 | $15 | −$5 | -32% |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | Feb 21 | $141 | −$110 | -79% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | Dec 30 | $211 | +$7 | +3% |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Dec 30 | $214 | −$77 | -36% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Dec 30 | $330 | −$95 | -29% |