Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:56:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7e4…352d
weather · 150 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized+$6
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses137 / 218
Open positions7
Markets (closed)355 / 150
History coverage11d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day328.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 355 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$84
7 days−$32
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4? Yes 20¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+400%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2? Yes 43¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+133%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 1? No 50¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+102%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on May 25? Yes 36¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+178%)
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 13? No 24¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 31? Yes 6¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1567%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 6? Yes 26¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+285%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 30? Yes 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+144%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 29? Yes 19¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+426%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on June 5? Yes 16¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+525%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 10? Yes 21¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+376%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 2? No 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+233%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 15? Yes 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+186%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 10? No 19¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+426%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-71%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 27? Yes 19¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+417%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 29? Yes 19¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+419%)
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 14¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+125%)
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1? Yes 13¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+669%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 11? Yes 4¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2400%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 10? Yes 7¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1329%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 13? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-70%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 13? No 31¢ 1¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-96%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 13? Yes 2¢ 6¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+147%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 13? Yes 16¢ 32¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4? Jun 13 $1 +$4 +400%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Ma Jun 13 $2 +$3 +133%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 1? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +102%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on May 25? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +178%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May Jun 13 $0 +$1 +1567%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 30 Jun 13 $0 +$1 +144%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May Jun 13 $0 +$6 +3581%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 2? Jun 13 $0 $0 +233%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May Jun 13 $0 $0 -154%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 27? Jun 13 $0 +$5 +5278%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 29? Jun 13 $0 +$2 +2382%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1? Jun 13 $0 $0 +669%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 11? Jun 13 $0 $0 +2400%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 10? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +8266%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 27? Jun 13 $1 $0 +49%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 28? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 20? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +219%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on Ap Jun 13 $1 −$1 -118%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 4? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -125%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 22 Jun 13 $0 +$1 +135%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 20? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +1620%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 27? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on Ma Jun 13 $0 −$1 -118%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Jun Jun 13 $0 −$2 -876%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on Ap Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on April 25? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 2? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -118%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 3? Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 30? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on May 2? Jun 13 $0 $0 -16%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Ap Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 21 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 29? Jun 13 $1 $0 -23%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 14? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 2? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -78%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 27? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +228%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 19? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 26 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 2? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -90%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 27? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +26606%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 5? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 26? Jun 13 $1 +$5 +420%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 26? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on May 29? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on May 27? Jun 13 $0 $0 +253%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May Jun 13 $0 $0 +140%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 17? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 19m
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 13? BUY No 24¢ $2 19m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 30m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 30m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 31m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 31m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 1¢ $0 31m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 1¢ $0 31m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 1¢ $0 31m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 1¢ $0 32m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 1¢ $0 32m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 1¢ $0 32m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 32m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 32m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 33m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 33m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 33m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 33m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 34m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 34m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 34m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 34m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 35m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 1¢ $0 35m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 35m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 35m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 1¢ $0 35m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 36m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 36m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun SELL Yes 2¢ $0 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+118.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 305 +138.8% +116.1% 35% 33% -17.2%
≤30d 355 +141.0% +118.0% 39% 35% -9.5%
≤90d 355 +141.0% +118.0% 39% 35% -9.5%
all 355 +141.0% +118.0% 39% 35% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover328.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +118.0% 35% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here +97.1% 34% -18.1%
15% +78.1% 33% -26.0%
20% +60.6% 30% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.51 · official $22.61 · 3500 history records