Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:24:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7de…bf0e
crypto · 1456 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$240 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$239 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$239
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses807 / 648
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1455 / 1456
History coverage98d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day24.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1455 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +53%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +64%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -41%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 21 $1 $0 -45%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 21 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 21 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 21 $1 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$239
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -4.2% -13.3% 63% 53% -17.4%
≤30d 291 -8.6% -17.3% 51% 42% -33.0%
≤90d 1367 -15.5% -23.5% 54% 39% -27.9%
all 1455 -11.0% -19.5% 55% 42% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 42% -19.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.2% 27% -26.9%
15% -34.2% 18% -34.0%
20% -40.7% 14% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.01 (match) · 3500 history records