Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T07:19:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
D7 0xd7da…2700 other 1354 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3481 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$4,636 (+1254%) realized −$726 · open +$5,362
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1798% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +1361% what you keep after slip
Net edge+1361%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%18W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$0per market
Trades / day3481.0pace
Kalshi-fit50%portable
Net worth$5,470now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 53% +$2,377
other 47% +$3,361
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3481 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+1617.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +1797.8% +1617.1% 100% 100% +1674.1%
≤30d 18 +1797.8% +1617.1% 100% 100% +1674.1%
≤90d 18 +1797.8% +1617.1% 100% 100% +1674.1%
all 18 +1797.8% +1617.1% 100% 100% +1674.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3481.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1617.1% 100% +1674.1%
10% ← realistic here +1452.8% 100% +1504.3%
15% +1302.8% 100% +1349.3%
20% +1165.2% 100% +1207.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 39% · top 2 47% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4249% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1798% · $-wt +4249% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1834% → late +1761% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$21 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$5,470
Realized−$726
Unrealized+$5,362
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses18 / 0
Open positions500
Markets (closed)18 / 1354
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$0
Trades / day3481.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit50%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 500 History 18 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 1¢ 80¢ $0 $24 +$24 (+7950%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 1¢ 72¢ $0 $21 +$21 (+7050%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 1¢ 50¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+4950%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 22 $0 +$7 +1807%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $1 +$29 +4900%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 22 $1 +$25 +4511%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 22 $1 +$29 +4899%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 22 $0 +$5 +4900%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 22 $0 +$5 +4900%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 22 $0 +$2 +507%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 22 $0 +$19 +3889%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 21 $0 +$6 +1539%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 21 $0 +$5 +4900%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 21 $0 +$4 +1179%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 21 $0 +$23 +9900%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 21 $0 +$5 +4900%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $0 +$20 +9900%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 21 $1 +$29 +4900%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $0 +$11 +2698%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 21 $3 +$147 +4900%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 21 $0 +$5 +1329%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 0m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 5m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 10m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,470.41 · official $5,621.75 · 3500 history records