Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:03:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7d9…ec1a
sports · 10 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
−$5 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses7 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)9 / 10
History coverage93d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Spurs 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Lakers Nuggets 59¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $4 +$3 +70%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? May 30 $15 $0 +3%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 21 $8 −$8 -100%
Rockets vs. Grizzlies Apr 17 $12 +$2 +15%
Kings vs. Magic Mar 27 $8 +$1 +10%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Mar 26 $7 +$2 +30%
Jazz vs. Kings Mar 26 $5 +$4 +82%
Bulls vs. Clippers Mar 14 $13 +$2 +15%
Nuggets vs. Lakers Mar 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% −$5
finance 16% $0
crypto 12% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $11 1h
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 58¢ $4 7d
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? BUY No 97¢ $15 27d
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 85¢ $8 54d
Rockets vs. Grizzlies BUY Rockets 87¢ $12 79d
Kings vs. Magic BUY Magic 91¢ $8 80d
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets BUY Nuggets 77¢ $7 84d
Jazz vs. Kings BUY Kings 55¢ $5 91d
Nuggets vs. Lakers BUY Nuggets 59¢ $11 92d
Bulls vs. Clippers BUY Clippers 87¢ $13 92d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +36.5% +23.5% 100% 50% +5.9%
≤90d 7 +15.6% +4.6% 86% 57% -3.3%
all 9 +2.7% -7.1% 78% 56% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.1% 56% -15.0%
10% -16.0% 33% -23.1%
15% -24.1% 22% -30.5%
20% -31.5% 22% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.89 · official $10.89 (match) · 21 history records