Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:52:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7d0…5c52
crypto · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses22 / 9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)31 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -4.7% -13.8% 71% 45% -20.8%
≤30d 31 -4.7% -13.8% 71% 45% -20.8%
≤90d 31 -4.7% -13.8% 71% 45% -20.8%
all 31 -4.7% -13.8% 71% 45% -20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 45% -20.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 29% -28.4%
15% -29.6% 16% -35.3%
20% -36.5% 6% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.07 (match) · 73 history records