Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:01:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7c9…1ce9
other · 19 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
−$21 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$100
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses5 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)18 / 19
History coverage196d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 1 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days+$51
14 days+$51
30 days+$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-29? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$40 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$14 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$39 +125%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 −$7 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $57 −$1 -2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $50 +$4 +7%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? Feb 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31? Jan 31 $28 −$28 -100%
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-29? Jan 29 $7 −$7 -100%
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? Nov 29 $12 −$12 -100%
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? Nov 29 $23 −$23 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% −$84
crypto 37% +$71
sports 2% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 4h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $8 17h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 19h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 95¢ $108 19h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $56 21h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 93¢ $50 36h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $15 40h
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 59d
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 132d
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31? BUY Yes 23¢ $28 132d
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-29? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 134d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-51.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -19.6% -27.2% 42% 33% +11.7%
≤30d 12 -19.6% -27.2% 42% 33% +11.7%
≤90d 13 -25.7% -32.8% 38% 31% +10.2%
all 18 -46.4% -51.5% 28% 22% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -51.5% 22% -16.1%
10% -56.1% 22% -24.1%
15% -60.4% 17% -31.4%
20% -64.2% 17% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.05 · official $100.05 (match) · 42 history records