Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:07:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7c6…d762
crypto · 117 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$87 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses38 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)117 / 117
History coverage40d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$20
14 days−$76
30 days−$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 07 $6 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 02 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 31 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 31 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 31 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET May 31 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET May 31 $6 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-29.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +57.0% +42.1% 52% 40% -27.3%
≤30d 116 -24.0% -31.2% 32% 25% -36.4%
≤90d 117 -22.1% -29.5% 32% 26% -35.7%
all 117 -22.1% -29.5% 32% 26% -35.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.5% 26% -35.7%
10% -36.3% 23% -41.9%
15% -42.4% 22% -47.5%
20% -48.1% 19% -52.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 342 history records