Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:03:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7b9…d36c
other · 34 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses7 / 26
Open positions1
Markets (closed)33 / 34
History coverage248d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 1 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$3
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 12 $40 $0 -0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 10 $32 −$2 -7%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 10 $70 $0 +0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $44 −$1 -1%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 08 $41 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 07 $48 $0 -1%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 07 $48 $0 +0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $18 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 06 $4 $0 +1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $53 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 05 $99 $0 -0%
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03? Dec 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03? Dec 13 $12 +$8 +72%
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? Nov 26 $27 $0 +0%
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? Nov 25 $13 $0 +0%
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02? Nov 25 $16 $0 +0%
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? Nov 25 $16 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? Nov 25 $48 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30? Nov 24 $18 $0 +0%
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? Nov 24 $20 $0 -3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Nov 24 $6 $0 +0%
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? Nov 24 $31 $0 +0%
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23? Nov 22 $31 $0 +0%
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? Nov 22 $70 $0 +0%
Miami vs. Virginia Tech Nov 21 $25 $0 -0%
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? Nov 21 $25 $0 +0%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Nov 21 $24 $0 +0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Nov 20 $24 $0 +0%
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? Oct 10 $24 $0 +2%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus? Oct 10 $49 $0 -0%
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? Oct 09 $15 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? Oct 09 $11 $0 +0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no Oct 09 $24 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 52% −$4
other 36% −$6
sports 5% $0
crypto 3% $0
politics 3% $0
culture 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $34 1h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $2 1h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $50 3h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $50 5h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $40 11h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $40 14h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $5 18h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 22h
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 65¢ $3 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 65¢ $27 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 70¢ $32 2d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 25¢ $22 3d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY Yes 25¢ $22 3d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 95¢ $44 3d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $44 3d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 79¢ $47 4d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 79¢ $2 4d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 79¢ $22 4d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 79¢ $26 4d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $41 5d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $41 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $23 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $18 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $42 5d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $26 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $22 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $10 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $38 6d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $18 6d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $9 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -0.9% -10.3% 10% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 11 -0.8% -10.3% 9% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 11 -0.8% -10.3% 9% 0% -10.2%
all 33 -1.2% -10.6% 21% 3% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 3% -10.4%
10% -19.2% 3% -19.0%
15% -27.0% 3% -26.8%
20% -34.1% 3% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.64 · official $35.64 (match) · 140 history records