Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:34:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd7a1…dd5e
sports · 202 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$249 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$249 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$249
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses56 / 144
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions2
Markets (closed)200 / 202
History coverage220d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 2 History 200 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days+$32
14 days−$54
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 30¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Rockets (-5.5) Rockets 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-25? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 35¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Hornets Pacers 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Celtics Thunder 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Wizards vs. Bulls Wizards 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-30? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Nets vs. Trail Blazers Nets 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-22? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Lakers Lakers 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 +$18 +355%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 +$11 +160%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$5 +88%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +165%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $11 +$14 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 10 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 09 $7 +$9 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $11 −$7 -66%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 07 $12 +$6 +50%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $7 −$7 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 04 $8 −$8 -98%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $15 −$15 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $15 −$15 -98%
Set Handicap: Kalinskaya (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 03 $6 −$6 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $15 +$17 +109%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $7 −$7 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $25 −$18 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 01 $4 +$4 +86%
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5) Jun 01 $11 −$11 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jun 01 $18 +$20 +107%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $22 −$14 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $3 −$3 -97%
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $4 −$4 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $9 −$9 -98%
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) May 31 $12 +$23 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -96%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $8 +$10 +129%
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo May 30 $16 −$16 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $26 −$26 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce May 30 $16 −$16 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova May 30 $10 −$10 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $3 +$27 +873%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5) May 30 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 30 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -94%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul May 30 $17 +$17 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $25 −$20 -79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$125
other 26% −$119
crypto 8% −$21
economics 3% +$26
politics 1% −$8
tech 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $12 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 30¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 88¢ $19 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $7 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 45¢ $10 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Over 10¢ $2 12h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY Yes 18¢ $3 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 21¢ $5 14h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 16¢ $4 25h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 94¢ $25 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 35h
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 2d
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Spurs 41¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2d
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) SELL Spurs 96¢ $16 3d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 4d
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Spurs 41¢ $7 5d
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 30¢ $4 5d
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 45¢ $11 5d
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) SELL Cobolli 100¢ $18 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 5¢ $1 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 19¢ $6 5d
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) BUY Cobolli 66¢ $12 5d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev BUY Jakub Mensik 23¢ $8 8d
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 23¢ $3 8d
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider BUY Aryna Sabalenka 19¢ $2 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 50¢ $15 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-33.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +4.3% -5.7% 41% 41% +24.8%
≤30d 60 -20.6% -28.1% 27% 27% -24.1%
≤90d 148 -21.3% -28.8% 30% 30% -28.5%
all 200 -26.7% -33.7% 28% 28% -29.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.7% 28% -29.7%
10% -40.0% 28% -36.4%
15% -45.8% 26% -42.6%
20% -51.1% 26% -48.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.05 · official $17.05 (match) · 489 history records