trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -40.3% | -46.0% | 50% | 50% | +5.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -31.1% | -37.7% | 33% | 33% | +5.2% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -35.3% | -41.4% | 33% | 33% | -2.5% |
| all | 18 | -35.3% | -41.4% | 33% | 33% | -2.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.4% | 33% | -2.5% |
| 10% | -47.0% | 22% | -11.9% |
| 15% | -52.2% | 17% | -20.4% |
| 20% | -56.8% | 11% | -28.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 85¢ | 88¢ | $13,708 | $14,243 | +$535 (+4%) |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 49¢ | 56¢ | $5,450 | $6,173 | +$723 (+13%) |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 23¢ | $5,439 | $4,908 | −$531 (-10%) |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 75¢ | 74¢ | $3,500 | $3,491 | −$9 (-0%) |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | Yes | 92¢ | 92¢ | $1,000 | $1,005 | +$5 (+1%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $57 | $37 | −$19 (-34%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 24 | $5,523 | +$1,074 | +19% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $134 | −$134 | -100% |
| Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 03 | $26 | +$50 | +194% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | Jun 02 | $91 | −$21 | -24% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 02 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | May 29 | $31 | −$31 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | May 18 | $16 | −$15 | -94% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | May 18 | $59 | −$44 | -74% |
| Weed rescheduled by June 30? | Apr 23 | $593 | −$157 | -27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Apr 22 | $100 | +$67 | +67% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Apr 22 | $10 | −$9 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Apr 22 | $21 | −$21 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Apr 22 | $10 | −$9 | -93% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Apr 22 | $266 | +$93 | +35% |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | Apr 21 | $438 | −$271 | -62% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 17 | $34 | −$13 | -40% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 15 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 12 | $16 | +$6 | +40% |