Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:12:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd798…6fea
crypto · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$5
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses23 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)40 / 42
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day81.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 25¢ 30¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$6
sports 1% −$1
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -6.5% -15.4% 58% 55% -12.7%
≤30d 40 -6.5% -15.4% 58% 55% -12.7%
≤90d 40 -6.5% -15.4% 58% 55% -12.7%
all 40 -6.5% -15.4% 58% 55% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 55% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 38% -21.0%
15% -30.9% 28% -28.7%
20% -37.7% 20% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.94 · official $4.34 · 129 history records