Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:01:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd787…3d15
crypto · 988 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$329 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$330 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$330
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses542 / 535
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1077 / 988
History coverage10d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day352.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1077 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$141
7 days−$159
14 days−$330
30 days−$330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 31¢ 34¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +6181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +11024%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$7 -20563%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +3452%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -9543%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +3619%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -11081%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +5374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$4 +11488%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +2526%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +4286%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +8187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1327%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$6 -18510%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -6316%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -4985%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +5215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +1783%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -1707%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +5580%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -689%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -7210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +7733%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +5990%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -9814%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -133406%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +4764%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -6624%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +4637%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +10070%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +3777%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +4324%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +4593%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +4562%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$6 -18498%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$7 -20756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +3757%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +7661%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +3805%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -2504%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -2360%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -3637%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +3629%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -5511%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1800%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +6139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +3572%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$325
sports 1% +$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+167.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 778 +193.1% +165.2% 49% 40% -10.5%
≤30d 1077 +195.2% +167.1% 50% 42% -12.2%
≤90d 1077 +195.2% +167.1% 50% 42% -12.2%
all 1077 +195.2% +167.1% 50% 42% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover352.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +167.1% 42% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here +141.6% 34% -20.6%
15% +118.2% 22% -28.3%
20% +96.8% 19% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.45 · official $6.58 · 3500 history records