trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 14% | 14% | -41.4% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 43% | 38% | -33.4% |
| all | 22 | -6.9% | -15.7% | 45% | 41% | -32.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.7% | 41% | -32.2% |
| 10% | -23.8% | 27% | -38.7% |
| 15% | -31.2% | 27% | -44.6% |
| 20% | -37.9% | 23% | -50.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $148 | $161 | +$13 (+9%) |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 51¢ | 52¢ | $147 | $148 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $147 | $145 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $147 | $145 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $74 | $66 | −$8 (-11%) |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $30 | $32 | +$2 (+6%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? | May 31 | $62 | +$367 | +596% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $51 | −$51 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $306 | −$300 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? | May 18 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $65 | +$35 | +54% |
| Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $228 | +$40 | +18% |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $300 | +$57 | +19% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $508 | −$296 | -58% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $84 | −$82 | -98% |
| Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 10 | $233 | −$230 | -99% |
| Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $66 | +$55 | +84% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? | May 06 | $33 | +$33 | +101% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw? | May 06 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 21 | $58 | +$5 | +9% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 11 | $140 | −$139 | -99% |
| Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer | Apr 09 | $100 | +$72 | +72% |
| Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer | Apr 08 | $110 | +$46 | +42% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Mar 16 | $99 | +$12 | +12% |