Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T22:19:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D7 0xd77a…23a6 crypto 124 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (50 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$314 (+6%) realized +$314 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate85%105W / 19L
Drawdown44%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day50.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$302
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (50 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 +4.4% -5.5% 85% 31% -4.3%
≤30d 124 +4.4% -5.5% 85% 31% -4.3%
≤90d 124 +4.4% -5.5% 85% 31% -4.3%
all 124 +4.4% -5.5% 85% 31% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 31% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.5% 15% -13.5%
15% -22.8% 10% -21.8%
20% -30.4% 6% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$20 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.79 per $1 lost it wins $1.79
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$314
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses105 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)124 / 124
History coverage4d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day50.3
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 124 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 28 $61 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 28 $61 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 28 $63 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 28 $66 +$5 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 28 $53 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 28 $49 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 28 $51 +$22 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 28 $65 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 28 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 28 $42 +$8 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $55 +$4 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 28 $44 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 28 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 28 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$4 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 28 $59 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $38 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 28 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 28 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 28 $44 +$19 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 28 $60 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $57 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 28 $52 −$51 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 27 $55 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 27 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 27 $60 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 27 $56 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 27 $37 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 27 $33 +$30 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 27 $49 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 27 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 27 $47 +$16 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 27 $9 +$51 +567%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 27 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $56 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $59 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 27 $62 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 27 $55 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 27 $48 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 27 $43 +$7 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $61 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $63 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $54 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $49 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $65 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $31 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $42 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $10 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $31 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $14 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $51 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $44 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $28 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $27 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 316 history records