Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:00:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd770…1ed5
crypto · 233 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$11 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$19
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses137 / 93
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)230 / 233
History coverage11d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day40.9
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 230 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$161
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? Yes 8¢ 1¢ $5 $0 −$4 (-90%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-89%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-97%)
Spread: Finland (-2.5) Finland 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? No 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 8-14? No 29¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 8? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: G-Time vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group A G-Time 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 10? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-22.5) Knicks 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? No 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5 No 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 2.5 No 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5 No 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9? No 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% +$2
sports 13% +$9
world 4% +$1
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-2.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 202 -5.2% -14.3% 59% 15% -29.6%
≤30d 230 +8.0% -2.3% 60% 20% -8.2%
≤90d 230 +8.0% -2.3% 60% 20% -8.2%
all 230 +8.0% -2.3% 60% 20% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.3% 20% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -11.7% 9% -17.0%
15% -20.2% 7% -25.0%
20% -28.0% 6% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.81 · official $0.81 (match) · 503 history records