Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd762…2800
crypto · 307 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,584 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,688 · open +$104
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,402
Realized−$5,688
Unrealized+$104
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses156 / 496
Open positions3
Markets (closed)652 / 307
History coverage1d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day3341.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 652 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,688
7 days−$5,688
14 days−$5,688
30 days−$5,688
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 74¢ 80¢ $1,246 $1,344 +$98 (+8%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 69¢ 78¢ $42 $48 +$6 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 62¢ 64¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7,441
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $57 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $39 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $40 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $40 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $40 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $55 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $39 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $42 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-58.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 652 -54.1% -58.4% 24% 23% -26.8%
≤30d 652 -54.1% -58.4% 24% 23% -26.8%
≤90d 652 -54.1% -58.4% 24% 23% -26.8%
all 652 -54.1% -58.4% 24% 23% -26.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3341.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -58.4% 23% -26.8%
10% ← realistic here -62.4% 18% -33.8%
15% -66.0% 15% -40.2%
20% -69.4% 13% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,401.85 · official $1,306.29 · 3500 history records