Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:47:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd760…f7f5
crypto · 606 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$4,260 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,445 · open −$58
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4,262
Realized+$4,445
Unrealized−$58
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses273 / 330
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$136
Open positions3
Markets (closed)603 / 606
Avg bet$371
Trades / day44.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 603 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,476
7 days+$8,849
14 days+$5,954
30 days+$4,571
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $2,407 $2,394 −$13 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1,713 $1,601 −$111 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 58¢ 78¢ $200 $267 +$67 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $277 $0 −$277 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) Crystal Palace FC 21¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $356 $0 −$356 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 16¢ 0¢ $723 $0 −$723 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $875 $0 −$875 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $275 $0 −$275 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $306 +$1,331 +434%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $207 +$173 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $414 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $826 +$667 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $413 +$346 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $207 +$170 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $413 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $207 +$185 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $207 +$180 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $413 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $206 +$157 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $413 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $274 +$208 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $828 −$800 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $207 +$209 +101%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $816 −$800 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $528 −$500 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $421 −$400 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $207 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $208 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $207 +$201 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $413 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $316 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $315 +$765 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $828 +$780 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $207 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $413 +$334 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $207 +$185 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $826 +$693 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $414 +$405 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $207 +$185 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $315 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $207 +$178 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $54 +$117 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $825 +$640 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $312 +$390 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $422 −$399 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $312 −$300 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $828 +$772 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $619 +$271 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $207 +$193 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $315 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $207 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $413 −$400 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$7,146
other 7% −$225
sports 3% −$2,533
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $206 2m
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 9¢ $103 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $207 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $207 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $207 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $207 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $206 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $206 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $206 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $207 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $206 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $207 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $207 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $206 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $207 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $207 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $206 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $207 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $207 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $204 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $206 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $207 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $206 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $207 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $207 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $207 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $207 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $165 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $109 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $207 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 345 +11.6% +1.0% 44% 44% -3.3%
≤30d 594 +5.4% -4.6% 46% 46% -7.5%
≤90d 603 +4.5% -5.5% 45% 45% -7.6%
all 603 +4.5% -5.5% 45% 45% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 45% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -14.5% 45% -16.4%
15% -22.8% 45% -24.5%
20% -30.3% 45% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,261.63 · official $4,240.99 (match) · 2216 history records