Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:47:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd75c…49b5
sports · 4 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$60 +53%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$66 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$66
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$66
14 days+$66
30 days+$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tessa Brockmann vs. Alycia Parks: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 99¢ 40¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-60%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $72 +$2 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 Jun 13 $18 +$60 +343%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $13 +$4 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% +$2
sports 36% +$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tessa Brockmann vs. Alycia Parks: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 99¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 96¢ $74 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 93¢ $72 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 BUY 22¢ $18 13h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 74¢ $13 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+104.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +126.5% +104.9% 100% 67% +48.7%
≤30d 3 +126.5% +104.9% 100% 67% +48.7%
≤90d 3 +126.5% +104.9% 100% 67% +48.7%
all 3 +126.5% +104.9% 100% 67% +48.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +104.9% 67% +48.7%
10% +85.3% 67% +34.5%
15% +67.4% 33% +21.5%
20% +51.0% 33% +9.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.99 · official $3.99 (match) · 7 history records