Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd757…51f5
crypto · 29 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$26 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses12 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day36.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$26
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$22 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $19 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $31 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-26.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -19.2% -26.9% 41% 38% -25.9%
≤30d 29 -19.2% -26.9% 41% 38% -25.9%
≤90d 29 -19.2% -26.9% 41% 38% -25.9%
all 29 -19.2% -26.9% 41% 38% -25.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.9% 38% -25.9%
10% ← realistic here -33.9% 34% -33.0%
15% -40.3% 31% -39.5%
20% -46.1% 24% -45.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 59 history records