Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd743…4b97
crypto · 861 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$439 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$439 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$439
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses490 / 371
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)861 / 861
History coverage33d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day92.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 861 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$153
7 days−$383
14 days−$727
30 days−$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 18¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+455%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$33 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$22 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$41 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$16 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$10 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$19 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$38 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$8 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $18 +$16 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$15 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$409
sports 0% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $75 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 192 +15.1% +4.2% 56% 51% -16.7%
≤30d 682 +0.5% -9.0% 58% 54% -10.9%
≤90d 861 +0.1% -9.4% 57% 53% -11.6%
all 861 +0.1% -9.4% 57% 53% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 53% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 48% -20.0%
15% -26.0% 41% -27.8%
20% -33.2% 36% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.45 · official $0.00 (match) · 3411 history records