Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd73d…375f
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$125 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$125 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$125
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses13 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage100d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$17 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Apr 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Apr 08 $40 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Apr 08 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Apr 08 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Apr 08 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Apr 08 $5 +$37 +742%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Mar 07 $25 +$21 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Mar 07 $47 −$47 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Mar 07 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Mar 07 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Mar 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Mar 06 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Mar 06 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Mar 06 $24 +$22 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 06 $14 −$14 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Mar 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Mar 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Mar 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Mar 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Mar 06 $18 +$13 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Mar 06 $31 −$31 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Mar 06 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Mar 06 $23 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Mar 06 $20 +$64 +318%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Mar 06 $27 +$16 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Mar 06 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Mar 06 $25 +$21 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Mar 06 $13 +$12 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Mar 06 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Mar 06 $5 +$6 +138%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $40 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $10 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $10 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $6 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $42 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $47 98d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $25 98d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 98d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 98d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $19 98d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $15 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $16 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $24 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $10 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $14 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $15 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 99d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -27.5% -34.4% 33% 33% -64.1%
≤30d 3 -27.5% -34.4% 33% 33% -64.1%
≤90d 9 +17.8% +6.5% 22% 22% -60.6%
all 37 -13.0% -21.3% 35% 35% -28.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.3% 35% -28.8%
10% -28.8% 35% -35.6%
15% -35.7% 32% -41.8%
20% -42.0% 27% -47.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 66 history records