Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:34:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd732…05ad
crypto · 167 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses88 / 78
Open positions1
Markets (closed)166 / 167
History coverage14d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$12
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -44.1% -49.4% 38% 38% -40.9%
≤30d 166 -6.2% -15.2% 53% 50% -15.1%
≤90d 166 -6.2% -15.2% 53% 50% -15.1%
all 166 -6.2% -15.2% 53% 50% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.2% 50% -15.1%
10% -23.3% 47% -23.2%
15% -30.7% 40% -30.7%
20% -37.5% 34% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.99 (match) · 309 history records