Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T22:58:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D7 0xd72b…1162 crypto 452 markets active 19d ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (144 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$59 (-2%) realized −$59 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate50%225W / 227L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day144.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$123
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$169
other 1% +$2
sports 0% +$2
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (144 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 396 +3.2% -6.6% 48% 38% -13.1%
≤90d 452 +0.4% -9.2% 50% 39% -13.8%
all 452 +0.4% -9.2% 50% 39% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover144.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 39% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 29% -22.0%
15% -25.8% 22% -29.5%
20% -33.1% 18% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses225 / 227
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)452 / 452
History coverage13d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day144.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 452 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $20 −$16 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $48 −$17 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $27 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $24 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $17 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +22%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $14 +$1 +9%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 $0 +10%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $1 +$1 +67%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 09 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -56%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 9? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $20 −$14 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 07 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 07 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$5 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 07 $25 −$18 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 07 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$3 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $15 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $14 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $8 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $6 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $29 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $25 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $11 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $21 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 18d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2272 history records