Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T22:52:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
D7 0xd723…ffda crypto 20 markets active 13h ago coverage 159d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$63 (+0%) realized +$63 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%19W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$2,011per market
Trades / day1.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$63now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$62
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 5 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 11 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 19 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 51% · top 2 97% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

159d coverage
Net worth$63
Realized+$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses19 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)19 / 20
History coverage159d
Avg bet$2,011
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 19 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Solana dip to $30 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $63 $63 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in May? Jun 05 $17 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? Jun 05 $19 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $170 in May? Jun 05 $22 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May? Jun 05 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $20 in May? Jun 05 $66 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? May 07 $19 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? May 07 $24 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April? May 07 $37 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? May 07 $73 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? Apr 08 $27,942 +$28 +0%
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? Apr 08 $10,948 +$32 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? Mar 05 $122 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? Feb 26 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? Feb 11 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? Feb 07 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 4 Feb 05 $122 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 3? Feb 04 $122 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua Feb 01 $121 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? Jan 18 $108 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana dip to $30 in June? BUY No 100¢ $63 13h
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $19 28d
Will Solana reach $170 in May? BUY No 100¢ $22 33d
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in May? BUY No 100¢ $17 35d
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May? BUY No 100¢ $30 39d
Will Solana dip to $20 in May? BUY No 100¢ $66 44d
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? BUY No 100¢ $19 57d
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? BUY No 100¢ $24 61d
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April? BUY No 100¢ $37 63d
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? BUY No 100¢ $23 67d
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? BUY No 100¢ $50 72d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $35 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $234 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $12 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $21 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $15 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $96 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $191 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $102 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $71 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $25 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $257 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $66 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $127 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $302 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $15 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $18 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $103 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $226 90d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? SELL No 100¢ $14 90d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62.71 · official $62.71 (match) · 222 history records